Navigating Alternative Energy Waves
The commentary I have seen on Ocean Power Technologies (OPTT) so far is way off base. I would summarize it as: "Ocean Power Technologies just did its IPO and the stock fell, showing it is too early to participate, especially since they need government subsidies to compete with oil."
Wrong, wrong and wrong.
Ocean Power did its IPO on the London AIM market three years ago. The U.S. offering on April 25 was a secondary offering. You can call it a "U.S. IPO" if you don't want to think globally, but the market had already established a valuation for the company, and it didn't drop 37% in one day due to any fundamental change in the outlook.
As for the "government subsidies," the cost of generating electricity from oil at $45 a barrel is about four cents a KwH. The cost of generating electricity from wavepower is 3.8 cents to four cents a KwH. The only other "alternative" energy technology that can generate electricity at four cents a KwH is onshore wind power, which is why utilities are willing to invest in wind farms. Guess what technology they are now starting to invest in, via pilot projects?
The Marine and Hydrokinetic Renewable Energy Promotion Act of 2007, a bill introduced last week in the House, would provide $50 million in Federal funds for tidal and wavepower R&D starting in 2008, as well as tax and investment credits. Also last week, the proposed wave farm in Cornwall, England, was granted $142 million in funding to provide free energy to 7,500 homes. Ocean Power Technologies is one of the three companies chosen to participate. Although it will only meet 3% of Cornwall's electricity needs, this small demonstration project will make Cornwall a world leader in marine energy production, and focus attention on OPTT.
As Edward Gibbon said: "The wind and the waves are always on the side of the ablest navigators." Navigating your way through the nonsense surrounding alternative energy technologies isn't easy, especially with the hype around solar (25 cents a KwH), but I expect it to be very lucrative.
